Ermenistan 0-2 Kuzey Makedonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.44
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.65
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
15%
5.15
X/2 EV+
20%
5.74
X/X
9%
3.94
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
13%
4.25
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.1pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ermenistan EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
Crosses 12.4
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ermenistan
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.13 xG 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
317 Passes 415
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2024 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 2-0 HT 0-0 Ermenistan Ermenistan AVUL
17.10.2023 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 3-1 HT 1-0 Ermenistan Ermenistan HAZ
11.11.2021 Ermenistan Ermenistan 0-5 HT 0-2 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya DKE
02.09.2021 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 0-0 HT 0-0 Ermenistan Ermenistan DKE
18.11.2020 Ermenistan Ermenistan 1-0 HT 0-0 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya AVUL
05.09.2020 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 2-1 HT 2-0 Ermenistan Ermenistan AVUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ermenistan
0-2
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
419 Passes 278
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
POST-MATCH Ermenistan vs Kuzey Makedonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey Makedonya beat Ermenistan 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Kuzey Makedonya found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ermenistan had 58% of the ball to Kuzey Makedonya's 42%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kuzey Makedonya led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ermenistan and 2.00 for Kuzey Makedonya.

What was the final score of Ermenistan vs Kuzey Makedonya?

Ermenistan 0-2 Kuzey Makedonya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ermenistan vs Kuzey Makedonya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kuzey Makedonya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ermenistan 38%, draw 23%, Kuzey Makedonya 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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