Kazakistan 0-1 Slovenya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.38
6+ Goals
10%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 32% vs market 31.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.22
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
6%
17.5
X/1
13%
10.5
X/2
9%
3.65
X/X
16%
4.45
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.13
2/X
6%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-8.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kazakistan EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovenya EU Bookmakers 60%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.55/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.59/0.94
+60% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +114% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 83%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
9.3 Crosses 11.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kazakistan
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Slovenya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.54 xG 1.72
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
274 Passes 445
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.09.2024 Slovenya Slovenya 3-0 HT 2-0 Kazakistan Kazakistan AVUL
20.11.2023 Slovenya Slovenya 2-1 HT 1-0 Kazakistan Kazakistan AVŞE
23.03.2023 Kazakistan Kazakistan 1-2 HT 1-0 Slovenya Slovenya AVŞE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kazakistan
0-1
AWAY Slovenya
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
401 Passes 356
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Kazakistan vs Slovenya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovenya nicked a narrow win over Kazakistan 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slovenya as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kazakistan had 52% of the ball to Slovenya's 48%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Slovenya led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kazakistan and 2.33 for Slovenya.

What was the final score of Kazakistan vs Slovenya?

Kazakistan 0-1 Slovenya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kazakistan vs Slovenya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slovenya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kazakistan 26%, draw 27%, Slovenya 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovenya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slovenya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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