Slovenya 3-0 Kazakistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 9 Sep 2024

📅09/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
24%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.1
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.78
6+ Goals
7%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 33% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.64
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
23.15
X/1
19%
3.21
X/2
9%
17.45
X/X
9%
5.9
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
11%
15.95
2/X
7%
24.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-13.6pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+12.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.6pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovenya EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kazakistan EU Bookmakers 14%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.12/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.66
-54% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +54%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
486 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
18.0 Crosses 12.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovenya
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kazakistan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
397 Passes 232
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.11.2023 Slovenya Slovenya 2-1 HT 1-0 Kazakistan Kazakistan AVŞE
23.03.2023 Kazakistan Kazakistan 1-2 HT 1-0 Slovenya Slovenya AVŞE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovenya
3-0
AWAY Kazakistan
2.47 xG 0.28
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
541 Passes 358
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 7
11 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slovenya vs Kazakistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovenya cruised past Kazakistan 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Slovenya as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Slovenya had 58% of the ball to Kazakistan's 42%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.47 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Slovenya had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Slovenya and 1.00 for Kazakistan.

What was the final score of Slovenya vs Kazakistan?

Slovenya 3-0 Kazakistan in the UEFA Uluslar League on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovenya vs Kazakistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovenya win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Slovenya 55%, draw 21%, Kazakistan 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovenya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slovenya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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