Norveç 2-1 Avusturya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 9 Sep 2024

Norveç
2-1 HT 1-1
Avusturya
📅09/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
UEFA Uluslar League – 2024/2025

Norveç vs Avusturya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
13.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.52 — our 24% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.02
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
17%
4.78
X/2
9%
6.51
X/X
9%
4.69
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.65
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.5
Value flag · 2/X at 13.5 — our 12% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Norveç v Avusturya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norveç EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Avusturya EU Bookmakers 34%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
1.34/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.15
+7% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +125% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
17.3 Crosses 12.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4

Norveç vs Avusturya Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norveç
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Avusturya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.30 xG 1.97
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
222 Passes 480
65% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.11.2020 Avusturya Avusturya 1-1 HT 0-0 Norveç Norveç AVUL
04.09.2020 Norveç Norveç 1-2 HT 0-1 Avusturya Avusturya AVUL

Norveç 2-1 Avusturya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norveç
2-1
AWAY Avusturya
0.85 xG 0.85
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
352 Passes 450
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Norveç vs Avusturya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norveç edged past Avusturya 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Norveç as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Norveç had 44% of the ball to Avusturya's 56%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.85 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Avusturya led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Norveç and 1.50 for Avusturya.

What was the final score of Norveç vs Avusturya?

Norveç 2-1 Avusturya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norveç vs Avusturya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norveç win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Norveç 42%, draw 28%, Avusturya 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norveç), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Norveç) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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