Güney Kıbrıs 0-4 Kosova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 9 Sep 2024

📅09/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.93
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.43 — our 37% vs market 34.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.71
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
5%
15.8
X/1
8%
7.82
X/2
20%
4.0
X/X
14%
3.97
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.63
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.4pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Kıbrıs EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Kosova EU Bookmakers 53%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.19/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.40
-43% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
12.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
17.2 Crosses 19.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Güney Kıbrıs
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kosova
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.36 xG 2.18
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
320 Passes 506
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 34
8 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2022 Kosova Kosova 5-1 HT 2-0 Güney Kıbrıs Güney Kıbrıs AVUL
02.06.2022 Güney Kıbrıs Güney Kıbrıs 0-2 HT 0-0 Kosova Kosova AVUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Kıbrıs
0-4
AWAY Kosova
0.62 xG 2.41
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 1
303 Passes 430
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Güney Kıbrıs vs Kosova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kosova swept aside Güney Kıbrıs 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kosova as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Güney Kıbrıs had 43% of the ball to Kosova's 57%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.62 to 2.41.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kosova led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Güney Kıbrıs and 3.50 for Kosova.

What was the final score of Güney Kıbrıs vs Kosova?

Güney Kıbrıs 0-4 Kosova in the UEFA Uluslar League on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Kıbrıs vs Kosova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kosova win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Güney Kıbrıs 27%, draw 27%, Kosova 47%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kosova), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kosova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUL More UEFA Uluslar League
9 Sep 2024
21:45 Türkiye vs İzlanda Analysis →
21:45 Fransa vs Belçika Analysis →
21:45 Slovenya vs Kazakistan Analysis →
21:45 Karadağ vs Galler Analysis →
21:45 Norveç vs Avusturya Analysis →
21:45 Romanya vs Litvanya Analysis →