Fransa 2-0 Belçika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 9 Sep 2024

📅09/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.22
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
15.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.38
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1
12%
4.12
X/2 EV+ ✗
15%
8.62
X/X
7%
4.73
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
9%
6.69
2/X
9%
14.8
Value flag · X/2 at 8.62 — our 15% vs market 8.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Belçika EU Bookmakers 26%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
2.07/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.51
+13% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
13.0 Crosses 11.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fransa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Belçika
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.04 xG 0.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
470 Passes 526
90% Pass Accuracy 91%
34 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.07.2024 Fransa Fransa 1-0 HT 0-0 Belçika Belçika AVR
07.10.2021 Belçika Belçika 2-3 HT 2-0 Fransa Fransa AVUL
10.07.2018 Fransa Fransa 1-0 HT 0-0 Belçika Belçika DK
07.06.2015 Fransa Fransa 3-4 HT 0-2 Belçika Belçika HAZ
14.08.2013 Belçika Belçika 0-0 HT 0-0 Fransa Fransa HAZ
15.11.2011 Fransa Fransa 0-0 HT 0-0 Belçika Belçika HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa
2-0
AWAY Belçika
1.77 xG 0.56
47% Ball Possession 53%
25 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
387 Passes 446
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
37 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fransa vs Belçika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa got the better of Belçika 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fransa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fransa had 47% of the ball to Belçika's 53%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 1.77 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fransa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fransa and 1.00 for Belçika.

What was the final score of Fransa vs Belçika?

Fransa 2-0 Belçika in the UEFA Uluslar League on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa vs Belçika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fransa 45%, draw 24%, Belçika 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fransa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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