Karadağ vs Galler Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karadağ v Galler — Team-Based Signals
Karadağ vs Galler Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Karadağ
AVR
1-0
HT 1-0
Galler
AVR
2-1
HT 2-0
Galler
HAZ
Karadağ 1-2 Galler — Actual Match Statistics
Galler edged past Karadağ 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match split (29% / 38% / 33%) promised a tight game; Galler found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Karadağ had 50% of the ball to Galler's 50%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 2.58 to 1.34 — on chances, Karadağ could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Karadağ had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Karadağ and 1.00 for Galler.
What was the final score of Karadağ vs Galler?
Karadağ 1-2 Galler in the UEFA Uluslar League on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karadağ vs Galler?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Karadağ 29%, draw 38%, Galler 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.