Finlandiya 1-3 İngiltere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.95
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
63%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.13
No
45%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.02
6+ Goals
13%
9.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
18.5
1/2 EV+
10%
25.5
1/X
10%
25.5
X/1
4%
22.3
X/2
27%
3.34
X/X
6%
7.46
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
27%
1.47
2/X
3%
24.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
10%
+7.5pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.7pp
63%
Away Win
73%
-10.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
43%
+12.0pp
45%
BTTS No
57%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finlandiya EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY İngiltere EU Bookmakers 78%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +79%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
236 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.9
Crosses 14.9
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finlandiya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY İngiltere
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.09 xG 1.58
21% Ball Possession 79%
2 Total Shots 22
0 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
153 Passes 731
71% Pass Accuracy 92%
3 Box Touches 70
4 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 0
10.09.2024 İngiltere İngiltere 2-0 HT 0-0 Finlandiya Finlandiya AVUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finlandiya
1-3
AWAY İngiltere
31% Ball Possession 69%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
291 Passes 753
82% Pass Accuracy 92%
POST-MATCH Finlandiya vs İngiltere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere beat Finlandiya 3-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İngiltere as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Finlandiya had 31% of the ball to İngiltere's 69%, shots finished 13-15.

What was the final score of Finlandiya vs İngiltere?

Finlandiya 1-3 İngiltere in the UEFA Uluslar League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finlandiya vs İngiltere?

Before kick-off our model rated an İngiltere win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Finlandiya 17%, draw 20%, İngiltere 63%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İngiltere), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İngiltere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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