İzlanda 2-2 Fransa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 13 Oct 2025

İzlanda
2-2 HT 1-0
Fransa
📅13/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

İzlanda vs Fransa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
7.18
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
68%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
14.7
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.25
1/X
4%
22.7
X/1
4%
16.9
X/2
25%
3.8
X/X
11%
7.05
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
34%
1.58
2/X
5%
19.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.25 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
11%
+1.4pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.6pp
68%
Away Win
71%
-3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İzlanda v Fransa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İzlanda EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Fransa EU Bookmakers 75%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.20/3.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.94
-96% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +129%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 494 · 86%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
7.0 Crosses 13.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1

İzlanda vs Fransa Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İzlanda
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Fransa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
0.58 xG 2.44
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
222 Passes 612
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.09.2025 Fransa Fransa 2-1 HT 1-1 İzlanda İzlanda DKE
11.10.2019 İzlanda İzlanda 0-1 HT 0-0 Fransa Fransa AVŞE
25.03.2019 Fransa Fransa 4-0 HT 1-0 İzlanda İzlanda AVŞE
11.10.2018 Fransa Fransa 2-2 HT 0-1 İzlanda İzlanda HAZ
27.05.2012 Fransa Fransa 3-2 HT 0-2 İzlanda İzlanda HAZ

İzlanda 2-2 Fransa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İzlanda
2-2
AWAY Fransa
1.12 xG 1.96
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 9
247 Passes 654
78% Pass Accuracy 91%
8 Box Touches 33
4 Crosses 44
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İzlanda vs Fransa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İzlanda and Fransa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fransa at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, İzlanda had 30% of the ball to Fransa's 70%, shots finished 4-20, expected goals 1.12 to 1.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fransa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İzlanda and 2.40 for Fransa.

What was the final score of İzlanda vs Fransa?

İzlanda 2-2 Fransa in the World Cup Qualifiers on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İzlanda vs Fransa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fransa win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split İzlanda 12%, draw 20%, Fransa 68%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fransa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fransa) ✓ Over 2.5
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