Galler 2-4 Belçika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 13 Oct 2025

Galler
2-4 HT 1-2
Belçika
📅13/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Galler vs Belçika Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
57%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 30% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.87
1/2
10%
23.55
1/X
4%
15.7
X/1
5%
9.77
X/2
19%
4.26
X/X
11%
5.04
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.18
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
57%
Away Win
54%
+2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Galler v Belçika — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galler EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Belçika EU Bookmakers 58%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.71/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.76
+21% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -12%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 81%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
14.0 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Galler vs Belçika Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galler
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Belçika
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.17 xG 2.08
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
266 Passes 619
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.06.2025 Belçika Belçika 4-3 HT 3-1 Galler Galler DKE
22.09.2022 Belçika Belçika 2-1 HT 2-0 Galler Galler AVUL
11.06.2022 Galler Galler 1-1 HT 0-0 Belçika Belçika AVUL
16.11.2021 Galler Galler 1-1 HT 1-1 Belçika Belçika DKE
24.03.2021 Belçika Belçika 3-1 HT 2-1 Galler Galler DKE
12.06.2015 Galler Galler 1-0 HT 1-0 Belçika Belçika AVŞE

Galler 2-4 Belçika — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galler
2-4
AWAY Belçika
0.81 xG 3.09
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
412 Passes 242
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 37
26 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Galler vs Belçika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belçika saw off Galler 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Belçika as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Galler had 62% of the ball to Belçika's 38%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.81 to 3.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Belçika led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Galler and 1.83 for Belçika.

What was the final score of Galler vs Belçika?

Galler 2-4 Belçika in the World Cup Qualifiers on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galler vs Belçika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belçika win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Galler 20%, draw 23%, Belçika 57%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belçika), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belçika) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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