Kuzey İrlanda 0-1 Almanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 13 Oct 2025

📅13/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
58%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 26% vs market 18.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
11.8
1/2
10%
21.45
1/X
7%
19.85
X/1
7%
14.3
X/2
13%
3.94
X/X
10%
6.65
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
35%
1.69
2/X
6%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+4.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-7.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey İrlanda EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Almanya EU Bookmakers 70%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
0.54/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.23
-94% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -56%
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
222 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 509 · 86%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.4
12.0 Crosses 22.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey İrlanda
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Almanya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.85 xG 2.10
25% Ball Possession 75%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
182 Passes 729
70% Pass Accuracy 90%
12 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.09.2025 Almanya Almanya 3-1 HT 1-1 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda DKE
19.11.2019 Almanya Almanya 6-1 HT 2-1 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda AVŞE
09.09.2019 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda 0-2 HT 0-0 Almanya Almanya AVŞE
05.10.2017 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda 1-3 HT 0-2 Almanya Almanya DKE
11.10.2016 Almanya Almanya 2-0 HT 2-0 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda DKE
04.06.2005 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda 1-4 HT 1-1 Almanya Almanya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey İrlanda
0-1
AWAY Almanya
0.60 xG 1.12
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
158 Passes 455
63% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kuzey İrlanda vs Almanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya squeezed past Kuzey İrlanda 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Almanya as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kuzey İrlanda had 33% of the ball to Almanya's 67%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.60 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almanya led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kuzey İrlanda and 3.33 for Almanya.

What was the final score of Kuzey İrlanda vs Almanya?

Kuzey İrlanda 0-1 Almanya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey İrlanda vs Almanya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almanya win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kuzey İrlanda 19%, draw 23%, Almanya 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almanya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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