Slovakya 2-0 Lüksemburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 13 Oct 2025

📅13/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.45
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.42
6+ Goals
13%
13.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.42 — our 23% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.75
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
5%
17.8
X/1
21%
3.8
X/2
6%
14.1
X/X
7%
5.74
2/1
14%
24.45
2/2
5%
12.6
2/X
5%
20.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
65%
+3.7pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.1pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovakya EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Lüksemburg EU Bookmakers 17%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.23/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.35
+36% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
455 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
27.0 Crosses 10.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovakya
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lüksemburg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.81 xG 0.73
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 Passes 309
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2025 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Slovakya Slovakya DKE
16.10.2023 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Slovakya Slovakya AVŞE
23.03.2023 Slovakya Slovakya 0-0 HT 0-0 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg AVŞE
12.10.2015 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 2-4 HT 0-3 Slovakya Slovakya AVŞE
27.03.2015 Slovakya Slovakya 3-0 HT 3-0 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg AVŞE
09.02.2011 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 2-1 HT 0-0 Slovakya Slovakya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovakya
2-0
AWAY Lüksemburg
0.97 xG 0.77
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
306 Passes 394
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Slovakya vs Lüksemburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovakya got the better of Lüksemburg 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Slovakya as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Slovakya had 45% of the ball to Lüksemburg's 55%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.97 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovakya had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Slovakya and 0.67 for Lüksemburg.

What was the final score of Slovakya vs Lüksemburg?

Slovakya 2-0 Lüksemburg in the World Cup Qualifiers on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovakya vs Lüksemburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovakya win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Slovakya 68%, draw 17%, Lüksemburg 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovakya), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slovakya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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