Banik Ostrava 1-4 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.81/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.14
+6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
26.0 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banik Ostrava
6W-0D-0L
AWAY FK Pardubice
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.95 xG 0.88
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
381 Passes 218
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
35 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2025 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 3-4 HT 1-1 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEKK
01.10.2025 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
29.03.2025 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 5-2 HT 2-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
05.03.2025 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-2 HT 0-2 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEKK
26.10.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-3 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
17.03.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banik Ostrava
1-4
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.85 xG 0.97
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
381 Passes 196
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
31 Box Touches 16
38 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Banik Ostrava vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice ran out comfortable winners over Banik Ostrava 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Banik Ostrava at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Banik Ostrava had 63% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 37%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.85 to 0.97 — the balance of chances actually favoured Banik Ostrava.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banik Ostrava had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Banik Ostrava and 1.17 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Banik Ostrava vs FK Pardubice?

Banik Ostrava 1-4 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banik Ostrava vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banik Ostrava win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Banik Ostrava 48%, draw 27%, FK Pardubice 25%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Banik Ostrava), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Banik Ostrava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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