Slavia Prag 4-3 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.34
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
15%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
70%
+0.1pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.5pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +22%
2.61/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.72
+23% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
385 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 68%
41.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
30.1 Crosses 14.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Prag
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Jablonec
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.24 xG 1.13
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
342 Passes 193
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
34 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2025 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
18.05.2025 Jablonec Jablonec 3-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
16.03.2025 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 3-0 HT 3-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
20.10.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 1-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
11.02.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 4-3 HT 3-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
27.08.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Prag
4-3
AWAY Jablonec
1.96 xG 1.66
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
338 Passes 157
77% Pass Accuracy 63%
42 Box Touches 9
31 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slavia Prag vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Prag squeezed past Jablonec 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Slavia Prag as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Slavia Prag had 64% of the ball to Jablonec's 36%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.96 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Prag had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Slavia Prag and 1.50 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Slavia Prag vs Jablonec?

Slavia Prag 4-3 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Prag vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Slavia Prag 70%, draw 17%, Jablonec 13%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Prag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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