Hradec Kralove 1-1 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
9%
9.77
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 29% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 28%
+18% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.27/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.01
+7% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
226 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 83%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
20.0 Crosses 17.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hradec Kralove
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.44 xG 1.59
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
225 Passes 358
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-2 HT 2-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
01.12.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-0 HT 1-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
04.08.2024 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 2-1 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
31.05.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-1 HT 2-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
24.02.2024 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 0-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
16.09.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 5-1 HT 3-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hradec Kralove
1-1
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
2.36 xG 1.35
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
336 Passes 268
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 9
31 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hradec Kralove vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hradec Kralove and Mlada Boleslav shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hradec Kralove at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hradec Kralove had 53% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 47%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.36 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hradec Kralove and 2.50 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Hradec Kralove vs Mlada Boleslav?

Hradec Kralove 1-1 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hradec Kralove vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hradec Kralove win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hradec Kralove 53%, draw 25%, Mlada Boleslav 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hradec Kralove) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hradec Kralove) ✓ Under 2.5
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