Montrose 3-0 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
45%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 30% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montrose EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
1.38/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.77
-1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +68%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
6.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montrose
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
04.10.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 3-1 HT 2-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
29.03.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-3 HT 0-3 Montrose Montrose İK1
01.02.2025 Montrose Montrose 0-3 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
16.11.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
14.09.2024 Montrose Montrose 3-0 HT 2-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
19.07.2022 Montrose Montrose 0-2 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
POST-MATCH Montrose vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montrose ran out comfortable winners over Stenhousemuir 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Stenhousemuir at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Montrose and 1.83 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Montrose vs Stenhousemuir?

Montrose 3-0 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 1st Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montrose vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Montrose 30%, draw 26%, Stenhousemuir 45%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Stenhousemuir), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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