Millwall 1-3 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 27% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.72
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
16%
4.72
X/2
10%
7.62
X/X
12%
4.82
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
14%
5.69
2/X
5%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -8%
1.23/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.44
-19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
240 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 75%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
23.2 Crosses 15.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Hull City
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.20 xG 0.73
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
306 Passes 409
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 Millwall Millwall 0-1 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
24.08.2024 Hull City Hull City 0-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
03.02.2024 Hull City Hull City 1-0 HT 1-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
07.10.2023 Millwall Millwall 2-2 HT 1-2 Hull City Hull City İNCL
10.04.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
05.11.2022 Millwall Millwall 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millwall
1-3
AWAY Hull City
0.82 xG 2.08
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
321 Passes 216
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Millwall vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City beat Millwall 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Millwall at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Millwall had 57% of the ball to Hull City's 43%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.82 to 2.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hull City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Millwall and 0.83 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Millwall vs Hull City?

Millwall 1-3 Hull City in the England - Championship on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Millwall 46%, draw 24%, Hull City 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Millwall), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millwall) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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