MC Alger 2-1 USM Khenchela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.75
No
52%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
32%
+16.1pp
52%
BTTS No
68%
-16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Alger EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 17%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-42% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
414 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MC Alger
4W-2D-0L
AWAY USM Khenchela
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.10.2025 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-1 HT 0-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
16.03.2025 MC Alger MC Alger 2-2 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
18.10.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-1 HT 0-1 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
11.05.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-1 HT 1-1 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
30.03.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-2 HT 0-2 MC Alger MC Alger CZYRK
16.12.2023 MC Alger MC Alger 3-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
POST-MATCH MC Alger vs USM Khenchela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Alger squeezed past USM Khenchela 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had MC Alger as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MC Alger had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for MC Alger and 0.67 for USM Khenchela.

What was the final score of MC Alger vs USM Khenchela?

MC Alger 2-1 USM Khenchela in the Algeria - National Cup on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Alger vs USM Khenchela?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split MC Alger 59%, draw 24%, USM Khenchela 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Alger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MC Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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