Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cardiff MU v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Caernarfon Town put daylight between themselves and Cardiff MU 4-2 away from home. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Caernarfon Town made the difference. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (58%) never looked like landing.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cardiff MU and 1.33 for Caernarfon Town.
Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town Result & Final Score
Cardiff MU 2 - 4 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 36%, draw 26%, Caernarfon Town 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caernarfon Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.