Caernarfon Town 0-3 Cardiff MU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 28 Sep 2025

Caernarfon Town
0 - 3 HT 0 - 1
Cardiff MU
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2025/2026

Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff MU Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.53
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
14%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.97
Over
52%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.41
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
24%
3.16
6+
6%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Caernarfon Town v Cardiff MU — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Caernarfon Town The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff MU The Market 20%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.41 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.64
0.94 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.61
Average Attack Strength Bad
Weak Defense Strength Great
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2

Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff MU Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caernarfon Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cardiff MU
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.08.2025 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-2 HT 2-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
11.05.2025 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
19.04.2025 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
08.03.2025 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 4-2 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
05.10.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-2 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
31.08.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-2 HT 1-2 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
REVIEW Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff MU
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cardiff MU dismantled Caernarfon Town 3-0 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Caernarfon Town at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 52% and both teams to score at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Caernarfon Town against 1.67 for Cardiff MU.

Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff MU Result & Final Score

Caernarfon Town 0 - 3 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff MU Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 66%, draw 20%, Cardiff MU 14%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Caernarfon Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caernarfon Town) ✓ Over 2.5
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