Vicenza 3-1 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.53
2-3 Goals
46%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
22.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vicenza EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.80/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.61
+3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vicenza
1W-0D-0L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2023 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-5 HT 0-3 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vicenza
3-1
AWAY GIANA Erminio
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vicenza vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza got the better of GIANA Erminio 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vicenza as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vicenza had 42% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 58%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of Vicenza vs GIANA Erminio?

Vicenza 3-1 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vicenza vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vicenza 51%, draw 26%, GIANA Erminio 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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