Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction — Model Probabilities
Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix — Team-Based Signals
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Melbourne Victory 1-0 Wellington Phoenix — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne Victory nicked a narrow win over Wellington Phoenix 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Melbourne Victory as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, possession split 57% to 43% in Melbourne Victory's favour, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.47 to 0.50.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Melbourne Victory against 0.83 for Wellington Phoenix.
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Result & Final Score
Melbourne Victory 1 - 0 Wellington Phoenix in the Australia - A-League on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory 70%, draw 17%, Wellington Phoenix 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.