Gainsborough Trinity 3-3 Workington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.96
No
44%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.9pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.9pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.9pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Workington EU Bookmakers 19%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +6%
1.98/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.36
-6% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
460 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Workington
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2025 Workington Workington 1-2 HT 0-2 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
15.03.2025 Workington Workington 1-1 HT 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
09.11.2024 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 3-0 HT 1-0 Workington Workington İNGNLP
23.03.2024 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 4-2 HT 3-0 Workington Workington İNGNLP
21.10.2023 Workington Workington 2-3 HT 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
3-3
AWAY Workington
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Workington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity and Workington shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gainsborough Trinity at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 52% of the ball to Workington's 48%, shots finished 20-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gainsborough Trinity had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 1.20 for Workington.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Workington?

Gainsborough Trinity 3-3 Workington in the England - Non League Premier on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Workington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 58%, draw 19%, Workington 23%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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