Zürich 1-4 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 14 Feb 2026

Zürich
1 - 4 HT 0 - 2
Luzern
📅14/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.29
Over Pick
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
17%
4.72
2-3
42%
1.93
4-5
30%
2.77
6+
11%
7.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.1
1/2
3%
23.55
1/X
5%
12.0
X/1
10%
6.8
X/2
13%
5.84
X/X
16%
5.38
2/1
3%
26.5
2/2
26%
3.23
2/X
5%
11.75
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Zürich The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern The Market 43%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.42 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.87
1.67 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.54
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Luzern
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 2.02
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
370 Passes 251
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Zürich Zürich 3-2 HT 0-2 Luzern Luzern İSV
03.08.2025 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
15.03.2025 Zürich Zürich 3-2 HT 2-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
26.01.2025 Luzern Luzern 3-1 HT 2-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
01.09.2024 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
18.02.2024 Luzern Luzern 0-1 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
1 - 4
AWAY Luzern
1.39 xG 3.55
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
300 Passes 252
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Zürich vs Luzern
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Luzern made light work of Zürich 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Luzern as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 53% to 47% in Zürich's favour, shots finished 13-22, expected goals 1.39 to 3.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Zürich against 1.50 for Luzern.

Zürich vs Luzern Result & Final Score

Zürich 1 - 4 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Zürich vs Luzern Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zürich 32%, draw 26%, Luzern 42%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luzern), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Luzern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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