Burnley vs Mansfield Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burnley v Mansfield Town — Team-Based Signals
Burnley 1-2 Mansfield Town — Actual Match Statistics
Mansfield Town edged past Burnley 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Burnley carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Burnley had 64% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 36%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 3.64 to 0.89 — on chances, Burnley could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Burnley vs Mansfield Town?
Burnley 1-2 Mansfield Town in the England - FA Cup on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burnley vs Mansfield Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Burnley 58%, draw 20%, Mansfield Town 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Burnley) went the other way.