Southampton vs Leicester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Southampton v Leicester City — Team-Based Signals
Southampton vs Leicester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-3
Leicester City
İNCL
Southampton 1-1 Leicester City — Actual Match Statistics
Southampton and Leicester City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Southampton at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Southampton had 45% of the ball to Leicester City's 55%, shots finished 13-17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Southampton and 2.83 for Leicester City.
What was the final score of Southampton vs Leicester City?
Southampton 1-1 Leicester City in the England - FA Cup on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Southampton vs Leicester City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Southampton 47%, draw 26%, Leicester City 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Southampton) went the other way.