Burton Albion vs West Ham United Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burton Albion v West Ham United — Team-Based Signals
Burton Albion 0-1 West Ham United — Actual Match Statistics
West Ham United nicked a narrow win over Burton Albion 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had West Ham United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Burton Albion had 38% of the ball to West Ham United's 62%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 1.02 to 1.44.
What was the final score of Burton Albion vs West Ham United?
Burton Albion 0-1 West Ham United in the England - FA Cup on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs West Ham United?
Before kick-off our model rated an West Ham United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 29%, draw 23%, West Ham United 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Ham United), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.