Manchester City 2-0 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.11
Draw
14%
8.78
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
1.0
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
2.67
No
39%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
12.6
2-3 Goals
36%
2.91
4-5 Goals
34%
2.28
6+ Goals
16%
2.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.06
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
4%
35.0
X/1
18%
4.43
X/2
4%
35.0
X/X
5%
22.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
28.0
2/2
6%
35.0
2/X
5%
35.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 15% vs market 0.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Manchester City win — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
85%
-14.8pp
14%
Draw
8%
+5.8pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+9.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
33%
+27.8pp
39%
BTTS No
67%
-27.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.84/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/5.10
+85% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -40%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
398 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 77%
41.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
18.7 Crosses 10.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Salford City
8.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
5.10 xG 0.89
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
456 Passes 176
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
36 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2025 Manchester City Manchester City 8-0 HT 3-0 Salford City Salford City FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City
2-0
AWAY Salford City
2.36 xG 0.42
81% Ball Possession 19%
19 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
625 Passes 86
91% Pass Accuracy 55%
38 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manchester City vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City saw off Salford City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Manchester City had 81% of the ball to Salford City's 19%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.36 to 0.42.

What was the final score of Manchester City vs Salford City?

Manchester City 2-0 Salford City in the England - FA Cup on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Manchester City 70%, draw 14%, Salford City 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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