Manchester City 8-0 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.11
Draw
19%
8.11
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.94
Over 2.5
57%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.53
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
10.25
2-3 Goals
38%
2.59
4-5 Goals
26%
2.34
6+ Goals
14%
3.47
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 10.25 — our 22% vs market 6.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.15
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
34.5
X/1
17%
3.72
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
5%
17.6
2/1
9%
23.85
2/2
6%
34.5
2/X
6%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Manchester City win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
85%
-18.5pp
19%
Draw
9%
+9.7pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
22%
+20.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
78%
-20.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.2pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
3.51/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.54
+35% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +62%
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
538 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 76%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City
8-0
AWAY Salford City
5.10 xG 0.89
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
456 Passes 176
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
36 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manchester City vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City ran out comfortable winners over Salford City 8-0. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 8-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Manchester City had 68% of the ball to Salford City's 32%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 5.10 to 0.89.

What was the final score of Manchester City vs Salford City?

Manchester City 8-0 Salford City in the England - FA Cup on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Manchester City 66%, draw 19%, Salford City 15%. The final score 8-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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