Norwich City 3-1 West Bromwich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.21
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.3
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
20%
4.29
X/2
11%
9.2
X/X
13%
5.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
24.0
2/2
10%
7.42
2/X
4%
15.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 12% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.1pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 24%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
2.86/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.14
+30% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
44.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
24.9 Crosses 18.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY West Bromwich
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.19 xG 1.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
333 Passes 429
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2026 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-5 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
01.10.2025 Norwich City Norwich City 0-1 HT 0-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
29.03.2025 Norwich City Norwich City 1-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
23.11.2024 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-2 HT 2-2 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
20.01.2024 Norwich City Norwich City 2-0 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
26.12.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-0 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
3-1
AWAY West Bromwich
2.82 xG 0.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 3
383 Passes 301
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
34 Box Touches 11
32 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs West Bromwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City got the better of West Bromwich 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Norwich City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Norwich City had 54% of the ball to West Bromwich's 46%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.82 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Norwich City and 0.67 for West Bromwich.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs West Bromwich?

Norwich City 3-1 West Bromwich in the England - FA Cup on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs West Bromwich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 49%, draw 25%, West Bromwich 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Norwich City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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