Lille vs Brest Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lille v Brest — Team-Based Signals
Lille vs Brest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Lille 1-1 Brest — Actual Match Statistics
Lille and Brest shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
This one beat our numbers. Lille carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Lille had 69% of the ball to Brest's 31%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.65 to 0.68.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lille and 1.33 for Brest.
What was the final score of Lille vs Brest?
Lille 1-1 Brest in the France - Ligue 1 on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lille vs Brest?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lille 55%, draw 22%, Brest 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lille), Over 2.5 went the other way.