Marsilya 2-2 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.15
Over
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.18
2-3
40%
1.87
4-5
25%
2.95
6+
13%
8.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.54
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
21%
4.81
X/2
7%
8.04
X/X
11%
5.57
2/1
10%
21.8
2/2
15%
5.61
2/X
5%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.4pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsilya The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg The Market 29%
+9% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.51/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.39
+20% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
16.3 Crosses 14.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsilya
1W-4D-1L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.63 xG 1.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
429 Passes 320
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2025 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-2 HT 0-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
19.01.2025 Marsilya Marsilya 1-1 HT 0-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
29.09.2024 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-0 HT 1-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
12.01.2024 Marsilya Marsilya 1-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
25.11.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-1 HT 1-1 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
12.03.2023 Marsilya Marsilya 2-2 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsilya
2-2
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.32 xG 1.92
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
362 Passes 490
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
21 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marsilya vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsilya and RC Strasbourg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Marsilya at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Marsilya had 44% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 56%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.32 to 1.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Marsilya and 1.17 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Marsilya vs RC Strasbourg?

Marsilya 2-2 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsilya vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Marsilya 49%, draw 24%, RC Strasbourg 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marsilya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marsilya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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