Jarun 0-1 Radnik Sesvete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.17
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
28%
+10.5pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 45%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.55/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.00
+61% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
211 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 1-0 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
28.03.2025 Jarun Jarun 0-2 HT 0-1 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
14.03.2025 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 0-1 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
19.10.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-2 HT 1-2 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
19.04.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-3 HT 0-1 Jarun Jarun HIR2
17.11.2023 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-1 HT 2-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
0-1
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Radnik Sesvete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Sesvete nicked a narrow win over Jarun 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Radnik Sesvete found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jarun had 43% of the ball to Radnik Sesvete's 57%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnik Sesvete led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jarun and 1.50 for Radnik Sesvete.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Radnik Sesvete?

Jarun 0-1 Radnik Sesvete in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Radnik Sesvete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jarun 39%, draw 27%, Radnik Sesvete 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jarun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jarun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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