MSV Duisburg 4-0 Schalke 04 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-7.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.2pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 II EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.93/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.28
-9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +43%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MSV Duisburg
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Schalke 04 II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.09.2024 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 1-2 HT 1-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH MSV Duisburg vs Schalke 04 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg ran out comfortable winners over Schalke 04 II 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had MSV Duisburg as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

What was the final score of MSV Duisburg vs Schalke 04 II?

MSV Duisburg 4-0 Schalke 04 II in the Germany - Regional League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MSV Duisburg vs Schalke 04 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg 53%, draw 25%, Schalke 04 II 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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