Maidstone United 1-0 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
13%
9.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+1.8pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.3pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.4pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.87/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/2.05
-3% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Farnborough
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Farnborough Farnborough 0-2 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
26.04.2025 Farnborough Farnborough 2-2 HT 1-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
21.12.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 4-0 HT 2-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
06.04.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 0-1 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
21.10.2023 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-1 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United squeezed past Farnborough 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Maidstone United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maidstone United and 0.60 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Farnborough?

Maidstone United 1-0 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 62%, draw 19%, Farnborough 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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