Bahlinger SC 2-2 SGV Freiberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.09
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
63%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
24%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
16%
-3.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
63%
Away Win
63%
+0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahlinger SC EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 67%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.01/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.60/0.00
-5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
354 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahlinger SC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY SGV Freiberg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
13.09.2025 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 5-0 HT 1-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
15.03.2025 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
07.09.2024 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 1-3 HT 1-2 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
02.03.2024 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 0-0 HT 0-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
29.08.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 3-2 HT 2-1 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
15.04.2023 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 1-0 HT 0-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bahlinger SC vs SGV Freiberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahlinger SC and SGV Freiberg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. SGV Freiberg carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SGV Freiberg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bahlinger SC and 2.00 for SGV Freiberg.

What was the final score of Bahlinger SC vs SGV Freiberg?

Bahlinger SC 2-2 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahlinger SC vs SGV Freiberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Bahlinger SC 13%, draw 24%, SGV Freiberg 63%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (SGV Freiberg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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