Sporting Charleroi 0-2 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
13%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.37
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
21%
4.49
X/2
10%
8.52
X/X
9%
5.09
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.65
2/2
14%
6.37
2/X
7%
14.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.65 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.8pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.9pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.62/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.45
-16% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
385 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 70%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.9 Crosses 15.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
1W-3D-2L
AWAY OH Leuven
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 1.12
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
355 Passes 314
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-2 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
24.05.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
28.03.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
14.12.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
26.10.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-2 HT 0-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
17.02.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
0-2
AWAY OH Leuven
2.06 xG 1.03
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
358 Passes 178
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
46 Box Touches 11
36 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven saw off Sporting Charleroi 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Charleroi at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 64% of the ball to OH Leuven's 36%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.06 to 1.03 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sporting Charleroi.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 1.00 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven?

Sporting Charleroi 0-2 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 50%, draw 21%, OH Leuven 29%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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