Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.3
Draw
15%
4.81
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.19
No
48%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.19
6+ Goals
13%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.51
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
4%
21.8
X/1 EV+ ✓
28%
3.57
X/2
4%
18.55
X/X
7%
6.72
2/1
8%
24.8
2/2
5%
17.45
2/X
4%
26.0
Value flag · X/1 at 3.57 — our 28% vs market 22.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
72%
-1.4pp
15%
Draw
17%
-2.4pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+3.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.5pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
2.05/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.28
-2% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
20.2 Crosses 16.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Dender EH
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
2.28 xG 0.29
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
484 Passes 217
86% Pass Accuracy 67%
36 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2026 Dender EH Dender EH 0-2 HT 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEK
13.09.2025 Dender EH Dender EH 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
01.03.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 4-1 HT 2-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
27.07.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0
AWAY Dender EH
1.63 xG 0.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
357 Passes 360
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise saw off Dender EH 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 49% of the ball to Dender EH's 51%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.63 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.25 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Dender EH?

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 71%, draw 15%, Dender EH 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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