Botev Plovdiv 1-3 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 22%
-17% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +16%
1.23/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.38
-22% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-2 HT 1-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
23.11.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 3-1 HT 2-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
21.07.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-3 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
10.02.2018 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-3 HT 0-2 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
1-3
AWAY Botev Vratsa
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa got the better of Botev Plovdiv 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Botev Plovdiv at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 59% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 41%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Botev Plovdiv had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 1.50 for Botev Vratsa.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa?

Botev Plovdiv 1-3 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 54%, draw 26%, Botev Vratsa 20%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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