Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Varna v CSKA 1948 Sofia — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-3
HT 0-0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
BUL1
Spartak Varna 1-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Actual Match Statistics
CSKA 1948 Sofia edged past Spartak Varna 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA 1948 Sofia as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Spartak Varna had 39% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 61%, shots finished 9-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Spartak Varna and 1.75 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.
What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?
Spartak Varna 1-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?
Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 18%, draw 22%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.