Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 28%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.00/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/0.29
-14% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
4W-2D-0L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.10.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
22.05.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 1-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BULK
24.11.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-2 HT 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
21.07.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
11.05.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 HT 1-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
10.12.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
3-0
AWAY CSKA Sofia
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad cruised past CSKA Sofia 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 56% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 44%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.50 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA Sofia?

Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 50%, draw 26%, CSKA Sofia 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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