Gyeongju HNP 2-3 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
45%
+5.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.2pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
1.26/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.71
-6% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Busan Transportation
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.07.2025 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-1 HT 1-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
30.03.2025 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 1-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
07.07.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
17.03.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
04.11.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 3-1 HT 2-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
09.06.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-2 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan Transportation edged past Gyeongju HNP 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gyeongju HNP at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gyeongju HNP and 1.00 for Busan Transportation.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Busan Transportation?

Gyeongju HNP 2-3 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 51%, draw 26%, Busan Transportation 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gyeongju HNP), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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