Mokpo City 1-1 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.5pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.6pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 52%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.29/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.78
+27% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mokpo City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Changwon City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
06.07.2025 Changwon City Changwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
02.03.2025 Mokpo City Mokpo City 0-2 HT 0-1 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
01.09.2024 Mokpo City Mokpo City 0-3 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
05.05.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 3-0 HT 2-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
23.03.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 0-1 HT 0-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GKOK
09.09.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 4-0 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
POST-MATCH Mokpo City vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mokpo City and Changwon City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Changwon City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changwon City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mokpo City and 1.33 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Mokpo City vs Changwon City?

Mokpo City 1-1 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mokpo City vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mokpo City 26%, draw 32%, Changwon City 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Changwon City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Changwon City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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