Corinthians 0-0 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.36
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.73
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
13%
4.94
X/2
9%
5.61
X/X
13%
3.64
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.47
2/X
7%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.23/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.20
+9% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
18.7 Crosses 19.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.27 xG 1.43
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
312 Passes 439
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
09.07.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
01.06.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BRK
18.05.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BRK
13.11.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
25.07.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-2 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
0-0
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.46 xG 0.32
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
277 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 9
8 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians and Atletico Mineiro fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Corinthians had 48% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 52%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.46 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Corinthians and 0.83 for Atletico Mineiro.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Atletico Mineiro?

Corinthians 0-0 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 41%, draw 29%, Atletico Mineiro 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Corinthians) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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