Mynavi Sendai (K) 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+8.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mynavi Sendai (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+101% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
223 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mynavi Sendai (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.03.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-2 HT 0-1 Mynavi Sendai (K) Mynavi Sendai (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mynavi Sendai (K)
1-2
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mynavi Sendai (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) squeezed past Mynavi Sendai (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mynavi Sendai (K) had 41% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)'s 59%, shots finished 6-17.

What was the final score of Mynavi Sendai (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Mynavi Sendai (K) 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mynavi Sendai (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mynavi Sendai (K) 34%, draw 24%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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