Guanacasteca vs Alajuelense Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guanacasteca v Alajuelense — Team-Based Signals
Guanacasteca vs Alajuelense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-4
HT 0-3
Guanacasteca
KOSTA
Guanacasteca 1-1 Alajuelense — Actual Match Statistics
Guanacasteca and Alajuelense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Alajuelense at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Guanacasteca had 43% of the ball to Alajuelense's 57%, shots finished 8-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guanacasteca and 2.17 for Alajuelense.
What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs Alajuelense?
Guanacasteca 1-1 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs Alajuelense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 21%, draw 29%, Alajuelense 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS No went the other way.