CF Montreal 2-2 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 May 2026

CF Montreal
2-2 HT 2-1
Portland Timbers
📅14/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
USA - Major League – 2026

CF Montreal vs Portland Timbers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.42
2-3 Goals
34%
1.86
4-5 Goals
28%
2.78
6+ Goals
15%
7.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.93
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
16%
5.28
X/2
10%
6.78
X/X
11%
5.48
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.25
2/2
9%
4.31
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+5.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.9pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CF Montreal v Portland Timbers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.55/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.82
-9% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 82%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.3 Crosses 15.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

CF Montreal vs Portland Timbers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Portland Timbers
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.47 xG 2.13
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
386 Passes 339
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.10.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-1 HT 2-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
27.06.2019 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-1 HT 1-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
22.07.2018 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-2 HT 1-2 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
20.05.2017 CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-1 HT 2-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
14.07.2016 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-1 HT 1-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
10.03.2013 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-2 HT 0-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD

CF Montreal 2-2 Portland Timbers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
2-2
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.65 xG 1.59
43% Ball Possession 57%
23 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 9
373 Passes 524
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
36 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Montreal and Portland Timbers couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was CF Montreal at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, CF Montreal had 43% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 57%, shots finished 23-14, expected goals 1.65 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Montreal had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for CF Montreal and 1.17 for Portland Timbers.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Portland Timbers?

CF Montreal 2-2 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 49%, draw 23%, Portland Timbers 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CF Montreal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
14 May 2026
02:15 Charlotte vs New York City FC Analysis →
02:30 DC United vs Chicago Fire Analysis →
02:30 New England Revolution vs Nashville SC Analysis →
02:30 Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union Analysis →
02:30 New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew Analysis →
02:30 FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami Analysis →