CF Montreal vs Portland Timbers Prediction — Model Probabilities
CF Montreal v Portland Timbers — Team-Based Signals
CF Montreal vs Portland Timbers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
CF Montreal 2-2 Portland Timbers — Actual Match Statistics
a 2-2 draw left CF Montreal and Portland Timbers with a point apiece. The 2-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
Our pre-match lean was CF Montreal at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Portland Timbers saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 23-14, expected goals 1.65 to 1.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Montreal had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for CF Montreal against 1.17 for Portland Timbers.
CF Montreal vs Portland Timbers Result & Final Score
CF Montreal 2 - 2 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
CF Montreal vs Portland Timbers Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 46%, draw 25%, Portland Timbers 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CF Montreal) went the other way.