New York Red Bulls 3-2 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.28
2-3 Goals
36%
1.97
4-5 Goals
25%
2.57
6+ Goals
12%
6.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.63
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
22.25
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
16%
6.28
X/2
15%
5.82
X/X
10%
5.95
2/1
7%
23.5
2/2
16%
3.23
2/X
8%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.25 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.3pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -25%
1.42/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.48
-19% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
15.3 Crosses 14.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.91 xG 1.53
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
259 Passes 553
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2025 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-1 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
31.08.2025 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-0 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
04.11.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-2 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
30.10.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-1 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
20.10.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-3 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
17.03.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
3-2
AWAY Columbus Crew
2.83 xG 1.48
31% Ball Possession 69%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
222 Passes 607
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 29
7 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew
Match summary & frequently asked questions

New York Red Bulls edged past Columbus Crew 3-2 in the USA - Major League on 14 May 2026. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 31% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 69%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.83 to 1.48.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.83 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew?

New York Red Bulls 3-2 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated an Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 37%, draw 24%, Columbus Crew 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Columbus Crew) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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