DC United vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
DC United v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
DC United vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
DC United 1-3 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
Chicago Fire put daylight between themselves and DC United 3-1 on the road. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
From a near-even 34% / 26% / 40% read, it was Chicago Fire who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) came in.
The match data tells the story: DC United had 40% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 60%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.71 to 2.11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, DC United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for DC United and 2.00 for Chicago Fire.
DC United vs Chicago Fire Result & Final Score
DC United 1 - 3 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
DC United vs Chicago Fire Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split DC United 34%, draw 26%, Chicago Fire 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chicago Fire), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.