DC United vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
DC United v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
DC United vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
DC United 1-3 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
Chicago Fire beat DC United 3-1 away from home in the USA - Major League on 14 May 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.
On the day, DC United had 40% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 60%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.71 to 2.11.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, DC United have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for DC United and 2.00 for Chicago Fire.
What was the final score of DC United vs Chicago Fire?
DC United 1-3 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for DC United vs Chicago Fire?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split DC United 37%, draw 23%, Chicago Fire 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chicago Fire), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.