Chicago Fire 2-2 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Mar 2025

Chicago Fire
2-2 HT 1-1
DC United
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

Chicago Fire vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
9.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.91
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
10%
12.3
X/1
9%
5.17
X/2
15%
6.97
X/X
11%
5.14
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.0
2/2
13%
4.64
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chicago Fire v DC United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +21%
1.34/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.10
-15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
18.5 Crosses 17.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Chicago Fire vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chicago Fire
2W-2D-2L
AWAY DC United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 1.16
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
354 Passes 287
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.09.2024 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-2 HT 0-2 DC United DC United ABD
26.05.2024 DC United DC United 1-1 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
03.09.2023 DC United DC United 4-0 HT 3-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
02.04.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 0-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
19.06.2022 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
13.03.2022 DC United DC United 0-2 HT 0-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD

Chicago Fire 2-2 DC United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chicago Fire
2-2
AWAY DC United
2.53 xG 3.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
283 Passes 407
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 43
15 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chicago Fire vs DC United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chicago Fire and DC United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Chicago Fire had 41% of the ball to DC United's 59%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 2.53 to 3.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chicago Fire and 1.17 for DC United.

What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs DC United?

Chicago Fire 2-2 DC United in the USA - Major League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 37%, draw 27%, DC United 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chicago Fire) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chicago Fire) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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